🎯 H79 Gold Plan· Ngọc Huy

Asian Sell Plan Update: TP1 4,149 Hit for ~22 Points, TP2 4,136 Missed

Asian short – result: The 7:45 PM ET plan: sell 4,165–4,175, stop 4,186, TP1 4,149, TP2 4,136. Gold slid from ~4,157 to a 4,147.8 low at 9:37 PM ET – TP1 4,149 hit (9:32–9:37 PM ET), a max gain of ~22 points from the 4,170 mid-zone.

TP2 missed, bounce followed: TP2 4,136 never printed. Buyers came back after 10 PM ET and lifted gold to 4,178.3 at 10:57 PM ET – above the top of the sell zone but short of the 4,186 stop. Spot was ~4,170 at 11:27 PM ET.

Managing what's left: Any runner after TP1 should have its stop at breakeven. A 1H close above 4,186 means exit and switch to the breakout plan (next post).

Gold 45-minute chart Oct 16: sell 4,165–4,175 hit TP1 4,149, low 4,147.8, rebound to 4,178
Bias: ↔️ Asian short hit TP1 4,149 – ~22 points
🔴 SELL zone 4,165–4,175 | SL 4,186 (not hit) | TP1 4,149 ✔ → TP2 4,136 ✖
⚠️ Key risk: Result: TP1 4,149 hit at 9:32–9:37 PM ET (low 4,147.8), max gain ~22 points. TP2 4,136 missed. Move the runner's stop to breakeven.
💲 ✅ Spot XAU/USD prices

🌍 Market Picture

As of 11:30 PM ET, Oct 15

DXY 101.99 ↓US10Y 5.083% ↓Brent 105.4 ↓S&P fut +0.03%

Arrows: vs. prior close

The 10-year yield has slipped to about 5.08% after PPI and the DXY is down near 101.99, back under 102 and off its 18-month high – the main tailwind for gold (CNBC). The AI-stock selloff keeps a haven bid in play, while U.S.–Iran tension around Hormuz holds Brent near $105.40. The swing factor now is Fed Chair Warsh's IMF fireside chat at 11:30 PM ET – a hawkish tone could knock gold back fast.

Sources: CNBC – Yields fall after PPI · CNBC – Dollar off 18-month high · CNBC – Gold rebounds · CNBC – AI tech rout · IMF – Warsh fireside chat

Sources

More details

🧭 Plan & scenarios

  • Data/news: the 10-year near 5.08% and DXY near 101.99 (under 102) support gold; Warsh speaks at 11:30 PM ET – no remarks yet at publish.
  • Price path: 7:45 PM ET ~4,157 → 9:37 PM ET low 4,147.8 (TP1 4,149 hit) → 10:57 PM ET 4,178.3 → 11:27 PM ET ~4,170.
  • Why: TP1 sat on the 45m BB90 mid/MA89 (~4,149) – the haven bid returned as the dollar slipped under 102.
  • Levels: TP1 4,149 ✔ · TP2 4,136 ✖ · SL 4,186 untouched · max gain ~22 points.
  • Risk: any runner after TP1 should have its stop at breakeven; a 1H close above 4,186 means exit.

💡 Our take

Trade the plan, not the noise.

Technical analysis for educational purposes only – not investment advice.

⚠ For information and education only – not investment advice. Trading gold and CFDs carries a high risk of loss.

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